Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.782093 0.897519 1.023335 1.170560 1.338016 1.522463 1.740941
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.651192 0.816944 1.013271 1.262522 1.570110 1.936829 2.406825
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.551790 0.751395 1.006522 1.355413 1.818942 2.412368 3.228458
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.454623 0.668522 0.962057 1.392146 2.003833 2.839799 4.065841
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.387639 0.612172 0.941230 1.454990 2.232681 3.360627 5.114233
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.320742 0.541880 0.886674 1.458059 2.374795 3.779886 6.085418
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.275014 0.494773 0.857701 1.493217 2.568928 4.303202 7.292434
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.227863 0.435422 0.797575 1.465898 2.656032 4.668563 8.301739
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.203491 0.411008 0.791793 1.528985 2.903743 5.331118 9.900144
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.185242 0.394172 0.796094 1.609846 3.193977 6.105419 11.801498
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.162781 0.364428 0.770565 1.629301 3.371755 6.700012 13.457400
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.142309 0.334594 0.739351 1.631505 3.514878 7.246753 15.094961
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.124546 0.307502 0.709917 1.634268 3.663518 7.832514 16.908590
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.110047 0.284892 0.686143 1.645207 3.831335 8.480855 18.943062
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.099612 0.269821 0.676563 1.686181 4.070979 9.311606 21.476729
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.087658 0.248422 0.648386 1.679132 4.201196 9.925236 23.626132
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.079860 0.236190 0.640158 1.718558 4.445762 10.824718 26.535549
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.070178 0.216720 0.610175 1.698443 4.543334 11.401382 28.781170
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.063726 0.205005 0.598288 1.723023 4.756144 12.277430 31.853121
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.055511 0.186224 0.563810 1.681107 4.791131 12.727560 33.949698
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.052071 0.181397 0.567574 1.745700 5.119050 13.950136 38.138641
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.049593 0.179122 0.578371 1.832350 5.520789 15.413785 43.134948
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 0.045304 0.169876 0.566652 1.850869 5.734325 16.413150 47.043257